Economic Outlook Report Q2 2026
Key Points
- The economic outlook for the national economy is positive. GDP, Consumption, Net Investment, and Profits are expected to grow, while the unemployment rate is expected to decline.
- The outlook for North Carolina is positive, with growing wages and salaries expected. Gross state product may have a slight downturn in the short term but is expected to grow into 2027.
- The outlook for the Fayetteville Metropolitan Area continues to improve.
- Wages in Fayetteville are forecast to grow in 2026.
- Fayetteville housing index is forecast to hold near its current level.
- The Fayetteville unemployment rate is expected to continue its downward trend.
Fayetteville MSA Economic Outlook

The outlook for the Fayetteville Metropolitan Area is improved.
- Wages in the metro area look to increase in 2026 but may face a short downturn in 2027.
- Unemployment rate is in a general downward trend.
- The labor force trend is flat with a slight possible decline.
- The housing index is holding steady.
North Carolina Economic Outlook

The North Carolina economy continues to perform well
- Growth in gross state product and total wages and salaries is expected to continue.
- The labor market will continue to see low unemployment with an expanding labor force.
National (USA) Economic Outlook

The economic outlook for the U.S. economy remains positive
- GDP, Consumption, Net Investment, and Profits are expected to grow.
- The unemployment rate is on the decline.